tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 11:23 DAY → 13:03 ATL
    DL 3108 · Delta · 1h 40m · 92% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 ATL → 16:04 PHL
    DL 1692 · Delta · 2h 04m · 69% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 41mDAY 11:23 to PHL 16:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.