tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 18:22 SRQ → 20:13 ATL
    DL 3109 · Delta · 1h 51m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 ATL → 23:53 ORD
    DL 1199 · Delta · 2h 09m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 37mSRQ 18:22 to ORD 23:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.