tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → St Louis via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 18:22 SRQ → 20:13 ATL
    DL 3109 · Delta · 1h 51m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:33 ATL → 22:15 STL
    DL 2833 · Delta · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 56mSRQ 18:22 to STL 22:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.