tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 16:30 CVG → 17:32 MSP
    DL 3113 · Delta · 1h 59m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:48 MSP → 20:10 PHX
    DL 2297 · Delta · 3h 22m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 40mCVG 16:30 to PHX 20:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.