tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:30 CVG → 17:32 MSP
    DL 3113 · Delta · 1h 59m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 MSP → 23:25 IAD
    DL 4129 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 78% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 55mCVG 16:30 to IAD 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.