tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 51%

  1. 19:57 SRQ → 21:48 ATL
    DL 3115 · Delta · 1h 51m · 80% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:57 EWR +1 day
    DL 2552 · Delta · 2h 18m · 70% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 01mSRQ 19:57 to EWR 00:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.