tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 19:57 SRQ → 21:48 ATL
    DL 3115 · Delta · 1h 51m · 80% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 ATL → 00:40 BWI +1 day
    DL 2590 · Delta · 1h 55m · 78% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 43mSRQ 19:57 to BWI 00:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.