tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 19:57 SRQ → 21:48 ATL
    DL 3115 · Delta · 1h 51m · 80% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:00 ATL → 23:15 BNA
    DL 3121 · Delta · 1h 15m · 80% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 18mSRQ 19:57 to BNA 23:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.