tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 83%

  1. 16:08 HNL → 05:00 MSP
    DL 313 · Delta · 7h 52m · 85% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 17m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:17 MSP → 10:52 IAD +1 day
    DL 3699 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 6 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 92 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 17m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip12h 44mHNL 16:08 to IAD 10:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.