tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 19:14 MSY → 21:56 ATL
    DL 3132 · Delta · 1h 42m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:53 ATL → 00:44 IAD +1 day
    DL 2549 · Delta · 1h 51m · 75% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 30mMSY 19:14 to IAD 00:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.