tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 16:33 IND → 18:15 ATL
    DL 3138 · Delta · 1h 43m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:18 ATL → 20:47 RDU
    DL 1518 · Delta · 1h 29m · 74% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 14mIND 16:33 to RDU 20:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.