tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:00 DAY → 07:42 ATL
    DL 3140 · Delta · 1h 42m · 91% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:57 ATL → 12:55 DCA
    AA 3976 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 58m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 55mDAY 06:00 to DCA 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.