tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 DAY → 07:42 ATL
    DL 3140 · Delta · 1h 42m · 91% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:50 ATL → 11:59 PHL
    AA 5037 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 09m · 87% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 59mDAY 06:00 to PHL 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.