tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:31 BNA → 18:49 ATL
    DL 3142 · Delta · 1h 18m · 69% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:03 ATL → 21:45 RIC
    DL 1426 · Delta · 1h 42m · 74% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 14mBNA 16:31 to RIC 21:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.