tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Milwaukee via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:31 BNA → 18:49 ATL
    DL 3142 · Delta · 1h 18m · 69% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 ATL → 20:49 MKE
    DL 2388 · Delta · 2h 05m · 65% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 19mBNA 16:31 to MKE 20:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.