tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Pensacola via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 16:31 BNA → 18:49 ATL
    DL 3142 · Delta · 1h 18m · 69% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:51 ATL → 20:05 PNS
    DL 3021 · Delta · 1h 14m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip3h 34mBNA 16:31 to PNS 20:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.