tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 18:31 RIC → 20:24 ATL
    DL 3152 · Delta · 1h 54m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ATL → 21:44 BNA
    DL 3002 · Delta · 1h 14m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 13mRIC 18:31 to BNA 21:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.