tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:01 CLT → 09:16 ATL
    DL 3156 · Delta · 1h 16m · 92% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ATL → 11:53 SDF
    DL 1481 · Delta · 1h 23m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip3h 52mCLT 08:01 to SDF 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.