tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 42%

  1. 15:22 MSY → 18:01 ATL
    DL 3157 · Delta · 1h 37m · 76% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 ATL → 20:48 DCA
    DL 325 · Delta · 1h 53m · 60% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 26mMSY 15:22 to DCA 20:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.