tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 15:22 MSY → 18:01 ATL
    DL 3157 · Delta · 1h 37m · 76% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:53 ATL → 23:57 DTW
    DL 651 · Delta · 2h 04m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 35mMSY 15:22 to DTW 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.