tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 15:22 MSY → 18:01 ATL
    DL 3157 · Delta · 1h 37m · 76% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 4h 39m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:40 SFO +1 day
    DL 656 · Delta · 5h 00m · 70% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 11h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 234 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 39m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip11h 18mMSY 15:22 to SFO 00:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.