tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 14:51 BNA → 17:04 ATL
    DL 3159 · Delta · 1h 16m · 78% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:24 SDF
    DL 2831 · Delta · 1h 25m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 3h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip3h 33mBNA 14:51 to SDF 19:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.