tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 52%

  1. 14:51 BNA → 17:04 ATL
    DL 3159 · Delta · 1h 16m · 78% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:53 ATL → 18:18 MEM
    DL 2939 · Delta · 1h 25m · 78% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip3h 27mBNA 14:51 to MEM 18:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.