tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 39%

  1. 14:51 BNA → 17:04 ATL
    DL 3159 · Delta · 1h 16m · 78% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 ATL → 19:48 DCA
    DL 832 · Delta · 1h 53m · 59% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip3h 57mBNA 14:51 to DCA 19:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.