tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 16:00 BHM → 18:14 ATL
    DL 3163 · Delta · 1h 14m · 76% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:30 ATL → 21:25 BWI
    DL 1257 · Delta · 1h 55m · 70% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 25mBHM 16:00 to BWI 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.