tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 16:00 BHM → 18:14 ATL
    DL 3163 · Delta · 1h 14m · 76% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:56 MCO
    DL 1733 · Delta · 1h 36m · 65% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 56mBHM 16:00 to MCO 22:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.