tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 16:00 BHM → 18:14 ATL
    DL 3163 · Delta · 1h 14m · 76% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ATL → 21:44 BNA
    DL 3002 · Delta · 1h 14m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 44mBHM 16:00 to BNA 21:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.