tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 10:42 BHM → 12:46 ATL
    DL 3164 · Delta · 1h 07m · 94% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 ATL → 16:50 TPA
    DL 759 · Delta · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 08mBHM 10:42 to TPA 16:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.