tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → New York via Richmond: arrives on time 63%

  1. 10:10 DTW → 11:51 RIC
    DL 3166 · Delta · 1h 41m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Richmond (RIC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 RIC → 14:42 LGA
    DL 5313 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 43m · 70% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 33mDTW 10:10 to LGA 14:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.