tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Orlando via Hebron: arrives on time 51%

  1. 13:49 ATL → 15:13 CVG
    DL 3169 · Delta · 1h 24m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:04 CVG → 18:21 MCO
    DL 2824 · Delta · 2h 17m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 32mATL 13:49 to MCO 18:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.