tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Austin via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 16:26 CVG → 18:00 ATL
    DL 3169 · Delta · 1h 34m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ATL → 20:27 AUS
    DL 1170 · Delta · 2h 24m · 72% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 57mCVG 16:26 to AUS 20:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.