tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 16:26 CVG → 18:00 ATL
    DL 3169 · Delta · 1h 34m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 ATL → 21:03 IAD
    DL 1309 · Delta · 1h 49m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 38mCVG 16:26 to IAD 21:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.