tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 39%

  1. 16:26 CVG → 18:00 ATL
    DL 3169 · Delta · 1h 34m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 ATL → 20:48 DCA
    DL 325 · Delta · 1h 53m · 60% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 22mCVG 16:26 to DCA 20:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.