tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Los Angeles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 17:36 STL → 19:15 MSP
    DL 3185 · Delta · 1h 39m · 72% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 MSP → 23:54 LAX
    DL 2103 · Delta · 3h 55m · 75% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 18mSTL 17:36 to LAX 23:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.