tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Boston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:36 STL → 19:15 MSP
    DL 3185 · Delta · 1h 39m · 72% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 MSP → 23:57 BOS
    DL 2614 · Delta · 2h 48m · 79% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 21mSTL 17:36 to BOS 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.