tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Milwaukee via Minneapolis: arrives on time 52%

  1. 17:36 STL → 19:15 MSP
    DL 3185 · Delta · 1h 39m · 72% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 MSP → 21:28 MKE
    DL 4468 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip3h 52mSTL 17:36 to MKE 21:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.