tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:30 CLT → 06:42 ATL
    DL 3186 · Delta · 1h 12m · 96% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ATL → 12:00 JFK
    DL 1034 · Delta · 2h 16m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 26mCLT 05:30 to JFK 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.