tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:48 ILM → 07:19 ATL
    DL 3187 · Delta · 1h 32m · 98% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:12 ATL → 10:29 EWR
    DL 2397 · Delta · 2h 17m · 87% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 41mILM 05:48 to EWR 10:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.