tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 77%

  1. 11:18 STL → 12:55 MSP
    DL 3188 · Delta · 1h 37m · 93% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:15 MSP → 18:59 DTW
    DL 1476 · Delta · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 42mSTL 11:18 to DTW 18:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.