tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:37 MKE → 11:45 DTW
    DL 3191 · Delta · 1h 08m · 91% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:48 DTW → 13:55 PHX
    DL 813 · Delta · 4h 07m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 18mMKE 09:37 to PHX 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.