tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 16:40 SDF → 18:19 ATL
    DL 3195 · Delta · 1h 39m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:30 ATL → 21:25 BWI
    DL 1257 · Delta · 1h 55m · 70% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 45mSDF 16:40 to BWI 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.