tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 16:40 SDF → 18:19 ATL
    DL 3195 · Delta · 1h 39m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:39 LAS
    DL 825 · Delta · 4h 19m · 67% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip8h 59mSDF 16:40 to LAS 22:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.