tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 16:40 SDF → 18:19 ATL
    DL 3195 · Delta · 1h 39m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 ATL → 22:47 PHX
    DL 842 · Delta · 4h 02m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip9h 07mSDF 16:40 to PHX 22:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.