tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dallas via Atlanta: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:40 SDF → 18:19 ATL
    DL 3195 · Delta · 1h 39m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:50 ATL → 21:00 DAL
    WN 196 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 47% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip5h 20mSDF 16:40 to DAL 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.