tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 11:57 PNS → 14:13 ATL
    DL 3198 · Delta · 1h 16m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 ATL → 17:04 ORD
    DL 2738 · Delta · 2h 16m · 62% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 09mPNS 11:57 to ORD 17:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.