tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Madison via New York: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:30 ATL → 09:42 LGA
    DL 323 · Delta · 2h 12m · 91% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 LGA → 14:19 MSN
    DL 5033 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 34m · 76% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 49mATL 07:30 to MSN 14:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.