tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:35 LAS → 17:59 JFK
    DL 333 · Delta · 5h 22m · 85% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 JFK → 23:23 TPA
    DL 1636 · Delta · 3h 24m · 76% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip10h 48mLAS 09:35 to TPA 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.