tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Raleigh/Durham via Detroit: arrives on time 87%

  1. 22:55 SFO → 06:30 DTW
    DL 335 · Delta · 4h 35m · 74% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 11:57 RDU +1 day
    DL 2164 · Delta · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip10h 05mSFO 22:55 to RDU 11:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.