tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 86%

  1. 22:55 SFO → 06:30 DTW
    DL 335 · Delta · 4h 35m · 74% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 DTW → 11:59 JFK +1 day
    DL 2751 · Delta · 1h 49m · 91% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip10h 04mSFO 22:55 to JFK 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.