tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Raleigh/Durham via Detroit: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:50 MCO → 20:45 DTW
    DL 337 · Delta · 2h 55m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 DTW → 23:28 RDU
    DL 2839 · Delta · 1h 48m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 38mMCO 17:50 to RDU 23:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.